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Effects of confinement and vaccination on an epidemic outburst: a statistical mechanics approach

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dc.contributor.authorToledano Sanz, Óscar
dc.contributor.authorMula, Begoña
dc.contributor.authorSantalla, Silvia N.
dc.contributor.authorRodríguez Laguna, Javier
dc.contributor.authorGálvez González, Óscar
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-03T12:04:29Z
dc.date.available2025-01-03T12:04:29Z
dc.date.issued2021-09-28
dc.descriptionEste es el manuscrito aceptado del artículo. La versión registrada fue publicada por primera vez en Physical Review E, 104, 034310 (2021), está disponible en línea en el sitio web del editor: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.104.034310. This is the accepted manuscript of the article. The registered version was first published in Physical Review E, 104, 034310 (2021), it is available online at the publisher's website: https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.104.034310.
dc.description.abstractThis work describes a simple agent model for the spread of an epidemic outburst, with special emphasis on mobility and geographical considerations, which we characterize via statistical mechanics and numerical simulations. As the mobility is decreased, a percolation phase transition is found separating a free-propagation phase in which the outburst spreads without finding spatial barriers and a localized phase in which the outburst dies off. Interestingly, the number of infected agents is subject to maximal fluctuations at the transition point, building upon the unpredictability of the evolution of an epidemic outburst. Our model also lends itself to testing vaccination schedules. Indeed, it has been suggested that if a vaccine is available but scarce it is convenient to carefully select the vaccination program to maximize the chances of halting the outburst. We discuss and evaluate several schemes, with special interest on how the percolation transition point can be shifted, allowing for higher mobility without epidemiological impact.en
dc.description.versionversión final
dc.identifier.citationÓ. Toledano , B. Mula, S. N. Santalla, Ó. Gálvez and J. Rodríguez-Laguna; Effects of confinement and vaccination on an epidemic outburst: a statistical mechanics approach Physical Review E, 104, 034310 (2021); https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.104.034310
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.104.034310
dc.identifier.issn2470-0045 ; e-ISSN: 2470-0053
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14468/25101
dc.journal.titlePhysical Review E
dc.journal.volume104
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherAmerican Physical Society
dc.relation.centerFacultades y escuelas::Facultad de Ciencias
dc.relation.departmentFísica Interdisciplinar
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/deed.es
dc.subject23 Química::2307 Química física
dc.titleEffects of confinement and vaccination on an epidemic outburst: a statistical mechanics approachen
dc.typeartículoes
dc.typejournal articleen
dspace.entity.typePublication
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication8c553812-bd9e-4899-87cc-ad40e9bd8338
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery72b031b9-d091-4c35-b48f-b97c34b9d539
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