Examinando por Autor "Primera, Ernesto"

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  • Miniatura
    Publicación
    Predictive Analytics-Based Methodology Supported by Wireless Monitoring for the Prognosis of Roller-Bearing Failure
    (MDPI, 2024-06-17) Primera, Ernesto; Cacereño, Andrés; Fernández Bermejo, Daniel; Rodríguez Prieto, Álvaro
    Roller mills are commonly used in the production of mining derivatives, since one of their purposes is to reduce raw materials to very small sizes and to combine them. This research evaluates the mechanical condition of a mill containing four rollers, focusing on the largest cylindrical roller bearings as the main component that causes equipment failure. The objective of this work is to make a prognosis of when the overall vibrations would reach the maximum level allowed (2.5 IPS pk), thus enabling planned replacements, and achieving the maximum possible useful life in operation, without incurring unscheduled corrective maintenance and unexpected plant shutdown. Wireless sensors were used to capture vibration data and the ARIMA (Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average) and Holt–Winters methods were applied to forecast vibration behavior in the short term. Finally, the results demonstrate that the Holt–Winters model outperforms the ARIMA model in precision, allowing a 3-month prognosis without exceeding the established vibration limit.
  • Miniatura
    Publicación
    Reliability Prediction of Acrylonitrile O-Ring for Nuclear Power Applications Based on Shore Hardness Measurements
    (MDPI, 2021-03-19) Primera, Ernesto; Frigione, Maríaenrica; Rodríguez Prieto, Álvaro; Camacho López, Ana María
    The degradation of polymeric components is of considerable interest to the nuclear industry and its regulatory bodies. The objective of this work was the development of a methodology to determine the useful life—based on the storage temperature—of acrylonitrile O-rings used as mechanical sealing elements to prevent leakages in nuclear equipment. To this aim, a reliability-based approach that allows prediction of the use-suitability of different storage scenarios (that involve different storage times and temperatures) considering the further required in-service performance, is presented. Thus, experimental measurements of Shore A hardness have been correlated with storage variables (temperature and storage time). The storage (and its associated hardening) was proved to have a direct effect on in-service durability, reducing this by up to 60.40%. Based on this model, the in-service performance was predicted; after the first three years of operation the increase in probability of failure (POF) was practically insignificant. Nevertheless, from this point on, and especially, from 5 years of operation, the POF increased from 10% to 20% at approximately 6 years (for new and stored). From the study, it was verified that for any of the analysis scenarios, the limit established criterion was above that of the storage time premise considered in usual nuclear industry practices. The novelty of this work is that from a non-destructive test, like a Shore A hardness measurement, the useful life and reliability of O-rings can be estimated and be, accordingly, a decision tool that allows for improvement in the management of maintenance of safety-related equipment. Finally, it was proved that the storage strategies of our nuclear power plants are successful, perfectly meeting the expectations of suitability and functionality of the components when they are installed after storage.