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Espinoza-Delgado, José

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0000-0001-7050-718X
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Espinoza-Delgado
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  • Publicación
    Nowcasting impact of COVID-19 on multidimensional child poverty
    (IOS Press, 2022-08-01) Fiala, Oliver; Kielem, Aristide; Delamónica, Enrique; Obaidy, Mohamed; Espinoza-Delgado, José; Giacoponello, Mariela; Cid Martinez, Ismael; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7050-718X
    From the onset, it was clear that the impact of the global economic and social crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic was unlikely to affect all children equally. Thus, it was necessary to ascertain the impact of COVID-19 on child poverty as the events unfolded. Many of the indirect effects of the pandemic – disruptions to health services, delayed vaccination programmes, widespread school closures, and increases in food insecurity – have significant impacts on the realisation of children’s rights and, consequently, were expected to increase material deprivations across different dimensions. The question was by how much? In this article we explain the modelling and methodological approach to project or nowcast the answer to that question. The method is dynamic as it was revised as additional information emerged during 2020 and 2021.
  • Publicación
    Children in Monetary Poor Households: Baseline and COVID-19 Impact for 2020 and 2021
    (Springer Nature, 2021-05-11) Fiala, Olivier; Delamónica, Enrique; Escaroz, Gerardo; Cid Martinez, Ismael; Kielem, Aristide; Espinoza-Delgado, José; https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7050-718X
    The impact of the global economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will not affect all children equally: those in poorer households and children who are disadvantaged face the most serious consequences. As parents lose their jobs and incomes, the impact on children living in impoverished households must be measured. In this article, we assess the economic consequences of the pandemic on these children. Given that poorer families have a larger number of children than other families, the analysis first establishes the proportion of children living in monetary poor households, as defined by national standards, across developing countries. Then, using historical changes and trends of income distribution per country, the latest projections about economic decline due to the pandemic, and demographic information about the distribution of children by deciles, we estimate the expected increase in the number of children in monetary poor households in developing countries as of end of 2020 to be an additional 122–144 million and, at best, a moderate decline in these numbers by end of 2021.