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González Sánchez, Mariano

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0000-0002-8255-9478
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González Sánchez
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  • Publicación
    Sectoral composition of GDP and greenhouse gas emissions: an empirical analysis in EU27
    (Springer, 2023) Martín Ortega, Juan Luis; González Sánchez, Mariano
    Understanding the relationship between economic growth and GHG emissions is crucial for achieving sustainable development and the Paris Agreement decarbonization goals. The objective of this paper is to analyse the long-term relationship between sectoral Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the EU27 under the framework of the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) theory. Previous research has yielded inconclusive results and presented various drawbacks, such as the omission of sectoral economic growth, poor data quality, and the use of methods that did not enable hypothesis testing. In contrast, this research applies the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) method to assess the EKC in the long-term for the industrial, service, and agriculture components of GDP for EU27 countries from 1990 to 2018 using audited data from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Despite a wide body of literature, this is the first research to investigate the EKC’s nature in sectoral GDP in the EU-27. The EKC theory has been confirmed statistically in only five countries. Nevertheless, the results imply that economic growth has a lowering impact on the environment in more than half of the EU-27, as the EKC theorizes. A high impact on GHG emissions is observed in the service sector of those countries that combined a high share of services in the national economy with weak energy efficiency performance in the transport and building sectors. Likewise, countries with major employment in carbon-intensive industry branches tend to show a long-term impact on GHG emissions.
  • Publicación
    Greenhouse Gas Emissions Growth in Europe: A Comparative Analysis of Determinants
    (MDPI, 2020) Martín Ortega, Juan Luis; González Sánchez, Mariano
    Understanding the underlying reasons for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions trends in dierent countries is fundamental for climate change mitigation. This paper identifies the main determinants that aect GHG emissions growth and assesses their impact and dierences among countries in Europe. Previous studies have produced inconclusive results and presented several limitations, such as the lack of quality of the data used, the reduced identification of determinants and the use of methods that did not enable hypothesis testing. Conversely, this research identifies an extended list of determinants of GHG emissions, performs an in-depth statistical analysis and contrasts the significance of determinants using panel data and multiple linear regression models for the period 1990–2017 for the main Eurozone countries. The study found that GDP and final energy intensity are the main drivers for the reduction of GHG emissions in Europe. Furthermore, energy prices are not significant and heterogeneous results are found for the renewable energy, fuel mix and carbon intensity determinants, pointing to a dierent behavior at the country level. The uneven impact of the main determinants of GHG emission growth suggest that a dierentiated application of European policies at country level will enhance the eciency of mitigation eorts in Europe.